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Stocks trading strategies

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stocks trading strategies

The idea when I set out to write this piece was to advise people how to tackle a rising interest rate environment as we proceed through April. The Federal Reserve did its part by raising the Fed funds rate on March 15, but the bond market? Well, that's another story. Yields initially collapsed rather than rising in response to the Fed's official statement, which came off far more dovish than expected. Markets were actually somewhat relieved that most folks at the Fed were only looking to raise rates three times this year instead of four, and that no attempt was made at all to narrow the central bank's balance sheet. Not only were bond yields compressed at the time, but much of the "reflation trade" actually came off due to political risk. Down went the dollar, up went gold and down went most of the stock-market sectors that had benefited the most since Donald Trump's election in November. What sectors did do well in this suddenly changed environment were those that compete directly against bonds, such as utilities, REITs and some telecoms. That's why those stocks are known as "bond proxies. The most important area to watch going forward will be U. That's because the Federal Reserve will have to slow down its schedule of rate hikes going forward unless we get sufficient economic growth. Right now, Fed members aren't seeing much help trading inventory-building, although the U. Retail sales have also been stocks, while consumer inflation is there on a year-over-year basis but not month stocks month. Besides, those year-over-year comparisons strategies start getting a lot less friendly in April. And then strategies oil. Crude prices have come under intense pressure in March and will certainly put the hurt on headline inflation unless we get a rebound. Still, the Fed seems to have some kind of mandate to strategies rates anyway. After years of almost careless and potentially very dangerous monetary policy, there seems to have been a shift in direction almost overnight with the change presidential administrations. All we really know is that Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari must have missed the meeting where the group reached their new consensus. So, stocks have to assume that the Fed keeps its collective rate-hike motor running. That means that there are really only two scenarios from here: Let's focus on the first option. The only catch is that President Trump's agenda for growth isn't likely be in place until later this year if that -- and that assumes it gets past Congress. Click the banner below to read all of our Trading Strategies columns for April or watch a replay of Jim Cramer's April 5 roundtable video with columnists Douglas Borthwick, Stephen Guilfoyle, Peter Tchir and David Yoe Williams:. Doug Kass shares his thoughts on Apple, Google and Starbucks. The gulf between the Republican wish list on financial regulations and the legislative reality is large. Don't expect stocks to surge to the upside, though. A hawkish Fed is probably good for financials, which are down with the stocks of the market. Click the banner below to read all of our Trading Strategies columns for April or watch a replay of Jim Cramer's April 5 roundtable video with columnists Douglas Borthwick, Stephen Guilfoyle, Peter Tchir and David Yoe Williams: In that case, the obvious pick among sectors will be financials, and the obvious picks among financials will be the banks. As rates rise, banks will be able to engage in traditional banking once again. The yield curve will steepen and the spread between what banks pay to borrow from savers and what they charge to lend to borrowers will expand. Ten- and year debt will move in price more than, say, two-year paper will and poof! It's true that you have trading accept a certain level of global risk with those names, but that could actually be a positive if dollar valuations are slow to rise and tax reform takes a while to come to fruition. Insurance companies, brokerage firms and consumer-finance names will round out the sector's likely winners. Yes, there will be a bottom eventually, as we won't trading a future with no brick-and-mortar stores whatsoever. But that business is in the early stages of an evolution into whatever it will eventually become in an Internet world. Wal-Mart is aggressively pushing the envelope on its own evolution. As for the rest of the sector, an improving economy means more money spent on entertainment, vacations and merchandise -- and who else will benefit from all of that more than Walt Disney Co. Disney's troubled ESPN unit might have to evolve as cable TV goes the way of bricks-and-mortar retailers, but content is king -- and so is family fun when there's enough money in the budget to include it. And need I even mention Star Wars? This column originally April 5. Action Alerts PLUS is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc. You are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser to strategies your experience. Jim Cramer's Best Stocks for Most Recent Trade Alert. Subscribe Access insights and guidance from our Wall Street pros. Find the product that's right for you. Apr 7, 9: This will make the elements use the width property again. Prev 0 of 3 Next. Jun 19, 8: Jun 18, 3: There Will Be a Pause In Tech Stocks Before a Sector Rotation, Strategist Says Don't expect stocks to surge to the upside, though. Jun 16, 2: JPMorgan A hawkish Fed is probably good for financials, which are down with the rest of the market. Jun 15, 3: What They Export, Whom They Employ. 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My 35 Best Stock Market Strategies/Techniques

My 35 Best Stock Market Strategies/Techniques

4 thoughts on “Stocks trading strategies”

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